‘Widespread chatter’ that Trump should drop out?

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I remain extremely dubious of a notion that’s being kicked around about Republican Party presidential nominee Donald J. Trump.

It’s that Republican “insiders” are telling Trump to drop out of the race and give the nomination to someone who at least can help the GOP retain control of at least the Senate, if not the House of Representatives as well.

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/insiders-to-trump-drop-out-226689

Let me be as clear as a mountain spring on this: It will not happen …. not like that.

Trump won’t drop out because someone is telling him to do so. If he were to drop out of the race, I am beginning to believe it would be because he had planned to do so all along.

Trump’s fans — the numbers of whom seem to be shrinking — have been fond of telling us how “unconventional” his campaign has been.

You want unconventional? Not a single thing would surprise me about what this guy might do. He’s already said things about political foes that in a normal election year would have gotten him tossed to the side of the campaign trail. It’s almost as though he has wanted to lose the GOP primary fight.

Now, do I believe that Trump has calculated an exit from the campaign? Do I believe he’s already made that decision?

No. I do not believe such thing.

Neither do I believe that Trump is going to do what others want him to do.

Politico reports that key Republican “insiders” took a survey about Trump’s candidacy. According to Politico: “The effect Trump is having on down-ballot races has the potential to be devastating in November,” added a Florida Republican. “His negative image among Hispanics, women and independents is something that could be devastating to Republicans. Trump’s divisive rhetoric to the Hispanic community at large has the potential to be devastating for years to come.”

Politico reports that Trump has made zero indication that he’s going to drop out.

What the heck? He won the GOP nomination fair and square. He knocked 16 other opponents out of the ring. He rolled up big vote totals. I give him credit for that. Honestly.

Still, there’s something amazingly unpredictable about this guy. He’s violated every political norm there is to violate. He’s still standing. But in the wake of his party convention and the convention that nominated Hillary Rodham Clinton, he has managed to make an unbelievable array of unforced errors.

He has invited Russia to hack into Clinton’s e-mails to see what she discarded; he has said Russia hasn’t occupied Crimea, when it has. He has decided to attack two Gold Star parents because they were critical of him at the Democratic National Convention.

And yes, his once-vaunted poll standing has plummeted.

Does anyone really expect this individual to do what other party leaders want him to do, such as quit the race?

No. If he does, it’ll be part of some grand plan he cooked up long ago.

But I don’t actually expect that to happen, either.

Unless …

This election back story involves a judge

FILE - In this May 1, 2008, file photo, Judge Merrick B. Garland is seen at the federal courthouse in Washington. President Obama is expected to nominate Federal Appeals Court Judge Merrick Garland to the Supreme Court. (AP Photo/Charles Dharapak, File)

So-o-o-o many back stories to examine, so little time — it seems — to do them all justice.

Speaking of justice, here’s a back story that might get some traction if current presidential election trends continue toward Election Day.

Merrick Garland. Do you remember him? President Obama nominated him to a seat on the U.S. Supreme Court after Justice Antonin Scalia died while on a hunting trip in Texas.

Garland’s nomination was put on the back burner by the Senate majority leader, Mitch McConnell, who declared within hours of Scalia’s death that the Senate would not consider anyone the president nominated. He would insist that the next president get that task. He said he doesn’t think it’s appropriate for a president in the final year of his second term to make an appointment to the nation’s highest court.

McConnell’s logic defies, well, logic.

Here’s how this story gets interesting.

As I am writing this blog post, Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Rodham Clinton is putting some distance between herself and Republican nominee Donald J. Trump, whose campaign is showing signs of imploding before our eyes.

So, McConnell has a calculation to make.

“Do I hope my party’s nominee pulls his head out soon enough to actually be elected president this November? Or do I concede that Clinton’s going to become the next president — and then do I allow Garland’s nomination to go forward in a lame-duck session of Congress?”

It’s looking, to me at least, as though Clinton’s going to win the election. That seems to set the table for a confirmation hearing and a vote for Garland, who by all accounts is a mainstream jurist who likely will be as suitable a pick as the Republicans are going to get — presuming a Clinton election.

What’s more, it also is entirely possible that Democrats will regain control of the Senate, which puts additional pressure on Republicans to act now while they still run the Senate.

McConnell never should have dug in his heels in the first place. He is playing politics with this constitutional task given to the president, which is to nominate candidates to the federal bench. For him and other Republicans to suggest in retaliation that Obama is playing politics is laughable on its face.

Garland has deserved a hearing and a vote ever since the president put his name forward. Hillary Clinton hasn’t said whether she would renominate Garland after she takes the presidential oath in January, which leads me to believe she’ll find someone else.

Obama sought to appease his GOP critics in the Senate by nominating Garland in the first place. He knew the Republican majority would resist anyone he nominated. He sought to find someone who already had been approved to the federal bench and who had impeccable judicial credentials.

If the trend continues and Trump continues to fall farther and farther into the political ditch, my strong hunch is that Majority Leader McConnell will cry “Uncle!” and give Merrick Garland the hearing — and the up-or-down vote in the Senate — he has deserved all along.

Now it’s ‘legal immigrants’ who pose a potential threat

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Donald J. Trump is doubling, tripling, maybe even quadrupling down on his anti-immigrant theme as he runs for president of the United States.

Holy cow, man!

He told a rally in Portland, Maine this week that “legal immigrants” pose a potential threat to national security.

The Republican presidential nominee wasn’t satisfied just in calling for a ban on Muslims entering the country. He expanded it to include those who come from countries where terrorists are lurking (which is just about everywhere on Earth). Now he says even those who are here legally can pose a threat and, by golly, he wants to stop them before they kill somebody.

http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/donald-trump-now-says-even-legal-immigrants-are-a-security-threat/ar-BBvjdqc?li=BBmkt5R&ocid=spartandhp

OK. Where does he stop?

He might consider going after, oh, every single American. That’s more than 300 million of us. Sure, the immigrant population has grown significantly in this country; it’s up to about 13 million immigrants now compared to 5 million in 1970, according to the Washington Post article attached to this post.

Do they pose the so-called existential threat to our national security? Are they more likely to commit terrorist acts than, say, your run-of-the-mill home-grown, corn-fed, good ol’ red-blooded American-born terrorists, such as, say, Timothy McVeigh? Do you remember Eric Rudolph? Hey, the U.S. Army psychiatrist who killed all those folks at Fort Hood on Nov. 5, 2009? His name is Nidal Hasan, but he’s an American-born fellow, too.

Trump went bonkers about a year ago when his presidential campaign started. Now, though, he’s talking about folks like my own grandparents. They’re all gone now.

But you know, come to think of it, two of them — my mother’s parents — came here from Turkey, where most people are practicing Muslims. If they were alive today, they might be on Donald Trump’s watch list.

Debates may portend the election result

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Some new polls are out and they show Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton stretching her lead over Republican Donald J. Trump in the race for the White House.

Don’t take it to the bank.

http://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2016/08/trump-support-collapsing-nationwide

The link here is from Mother Jones, a liberal publication, which tells us that Trump’s support is collapsing across the board. Clinton is hammering Trump with virtually every demographic group imaginable and is holding her own with one group, white men, that Trump formerly dominated.

Don’t take that to the bank, either.

The biggest test of this contest for both of these candidates will occur when they square off in their joint appearances. As an aside, I dislike referring to these events as “debates,” given that they aren’t anything of the sort.

I intend to watch all of them, plus the vice-presidential contest between Democrat Tim Kaine and Republican Mike Pence.

What should we look for as Clinton and Trump stand — or sit — together on the stage?

I’m going to watch for body language.

It’ll be quite instructive to me to see how these two candidates greet each other when they are introduced, how they react to the nastiness they’re going to say about each other during the questioning and how they act when it’s time to say “good night.”

I don’t expect Clinton to change her message much. Trump, on the other hand, might decide to revamp his entire campaign theme. Heck, he might change it multiple times in the first half of the first joint appearance!

If form holds, Clinton will be fully prepped and briefed for anything Trump is going to say. As for Trump, it remains to be seen if he even has a debate prep team formed to coach him through what Clinton is going to lob at him.

There well could be a classic line that will live on once the lights go out. We might hear a “There you go again,” or “Are you better off?” zinger. We could get a “You’re no Jack Kennedy” rejoinder.

One of my favorites blasts was a self-inflicted shot fired in 1960 — at the first one of these televised events — in which Vice President Richard Nixon — husband of Pat Nixon — told us “Americans cannot stand pat.”

Hillary Clinton is up — today! The main event, though, is yet to come.

Back country keeps calling

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This is the latest in an occasional series of blog posts commenting on upcoming retirement.

Four nights in one of Texas’s great natural wonders whetted my appetite for more of the same.

I was intrigued by what my wife and I saw as we took off on our morning hikes through some glorious back country in Caprock Canyons State Park, comprising more than 15,300 acres just about three miles north of Quitaque, Texas.

We chose to hike in the morning before it got too blasted hot. The temperatures were at or near 100 degrees almost every day we were camped out.

But we’d set out from a selected trail head and trudge along toward the red rock cliffs before us. They were a gorgeous site. As we got farther from the road, I was struck by the remoteness I would feel.

It was a wonderful feeling, knowing that we were “away from it all,” it only for a few days.

Caprock Canyons isn’t exactly at the end of the world. It just seemed that way for the four nights we parked our fifth wheel at the Honey Flats campsite.

We were told by Texas Parks & Wildlife rangers that bison were known to roam through that site. We didn’t see any out there. We did see several of the glorious beasts grazing in pasture just off the road that courses through the park.

What lies ahead for us as we move toward full-time retirement?

I hope more of the same. Since we live in an expansive and magnificent continent, I’m quite confident we’ll find it out there.

Perhaps by the time we have made the transition fully I will learn to accept the feeling of remoteness as the “new normal.”

Trump uncomfortable with ‘self-praise’? Oh … my … goodness!

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I’ve had my laugh-out-loud moment for today while reading about the presidential campaign.

It came from the DailyKos, a lefty website where the editors take pleasure in making fun of conservatives.

The site contained a quote from Dr. Ben Carson, the former Republican presidential candidate-turned Donald Trump supporter.

According to Dr. Carson, Trump doesn’t like to talk about all the good things he’s done for people because — hold on with both hands! — he is “uncomfortable with self-praise.”

http://m.dailykos.com/story/2016/08/04/1556753/-Ben-Carson-Trump-doesn-t-talk-about-his-good-deeds-because-he-is-uncomfortable-with-self-praise?

So help me, my head is about to do a 360 spin!

I understand Dr. Carson’s endorsement of Trump. I believe he is angling for a job in a Trump Cabinet in the event hell freezes over on Election Day.

Of all the things the good doctor could have said about Trump, though, this one might be the most astonishing thing anyone — ever! — has said about the Paragon of Egomania.

To endorse or not endorse …

trumpryan

Let me see if I can keep this straight.

Republican Party presidential nominee Donald J. Trump said just the other day he wasn’t ready to “endorse” House Speaker Paul Ryan in his bid for re-election. He also declined to endorse U.S. Sen. John McCain, who’s also in a tough fight for re-election. Same for U.S. Sen. Kelly Ayotte.

Then he went to Green Bay, Wis., yesterday and endorsed all three of them.

Ryan, McCain and Ayotte all have kept their distance from their party’s presidential nominee. They dislike many of his public statements about immigration, his proposed ban on Muslims and, oh, a lot of other things.

I’m wondering about the impact of these endorsements and whether it means that the individuals who got them from Trump — Ryan, McCain and Ayotte — now will make campaign appearances with him.

I’m guessing that Ryan won’t. Why? Well, his major challenge is coming from within his own party; he’s being challenged by a TEA Party insurgent who — interestingly, in my view — has drawn the endorsement from former half-term Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin. Ryan’s primary election is next week, if he dispatches the TEA Party fellow, then he’ll likely win re-election this fall.

But all three of these lawmakers have said some unkind things about their party’s presidential nominee. They are far from alone, particularly in the wake of the Democratic Party convention, during which Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton has scored a significant post-convention “bounce” in many public opinion surveys.

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/290602-trump-endorses-ryan-after-week-of-tension

I am not expecting McCain or Ayotte to campaign with Trump at their side. Or many other Republican officeholders. They’ve witnessed — along with the rest of us — how Trump handles these events. I trust they’ve watched Trump’s introduction of his own vice-presidential running mate, Indiana Gov. Mike Pence, and how Trump talked almost entirely about himself before handing the mic over to Pence.

They all have politicians’ egos that, in normal election cycles, would stand out. Not this year. Not when they have to share a stage with Donald J. Trump.

Olympic splendor always provides chills

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At this very moment, I am watching the parade of nations at the start of the Summer Olympics in Rio de Janeiro.

I’ve written already about how I’m a sucker for pageantry.

The Olympics’ opening ceremony always fills me with pride.

Sure enough, I enjoyed watching the Americans march into the stadium. I always enjoy the Greek Olympic team lead the parade per the custom, given that the Olympics originated in Greece in 776 B.C.; it also fills me with pride in my own Greek heritage to see them lead the thousands of other athletes onto the stadium floor.

The Rio games have been beset with questions, trouble and the potential for disaster. The world’s sincere hope is that the Brazilians conduct an Olympics that will make them proud.

Given that this is the first Olympics ever held in South America, I’m betting the Brazilians are up to the task.

I’m also an unfettered idealist. I always hope — and occasionally expect — the best. The Rio Olympic planners have everything in the world at stake here. The images I’ve seen of the host city are spectacular in the extreme. Then again, all host cities make sure they show off their best when the world comes calling.

Worries about Zika, terrorism, contaminated water and filthy streets all are legitimate concerns for the Brazilians.

I am aware that the Olympic spirit alone won’t protect the competitors from harm. A good bit prayer and good karma, though, well might do the trick.

I’ll be sending them all plenty of both for the next two weeks.

Christian, Muslim, Jew … so what?

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Carl Paladino is a partisan hack who runs Republican nominee Donald J. Trump’s presidential campaign in New York state.

He’s also spouting idiocy about the religious affiliation of the president of the United States, who he has labeled this week as a Muslim.

Barack Obama has said repeatedly that he is a devout Christian. I believe the president. I do not believe the idiotic rant of Paladino.

http://www.mediaite.com/online/trump-advisor-carl-paladino-theres-no-doubt-that-obama-is-a-muslim/

OK, then. Now, let’s look at something in the U.S. Constitution.

If you’re a real, true-blue, dyed-in-the-wool conservative, you believe in what’s called a “strict constructionist” view of the Constitution. You choose to interpret as little as possible in the document, much like one might do with, say, the Holy Bible.

So, let’s open our copy of the Constitution and turn to Article VI. It covers several areas of government, such as debt, laws and treaties, the oath officeholders take to support the Constitution.

And, oh yes, it has a clause at the end of it pertaining to “no religious test.”

It states: ” … but no religious test shall ever be required as a Qualification to any Office or public Trust under the United States.”

Do you know what I take away from that passage in Article VI? It means to me that an officeholder or a candidate for public office can worship any religion he or she chooses. It doesn’t matter what faith they worship.

Article VI lays it out there with crystal clarity.

That’s in a perfect world. I realize we don’t live in a world of perfection. It is soiled a good bit by those who choose to ignore constitutional tenets that fail to meet their world view.

Carl Paladino chooses, therefore, to declare in public that President Barack Obama is a Muslim, as if that’s supposed to label him as someone evil, sinister … anti-American.

I’ll make an admission: I am not as faithful to my own interpretation of the Constitution. Some constitutional tenets I take literally; I choose to interpret other tenets a bit more broadly. If you’re honest with yourself, you might be wiling to admit to doing the same thing yourself.

The “no religious test” clause of Article VI is one that — in my view — should be understood clearly and without equivocation. The framers knew exactly what they were doing when they expressly prohibited a “religious test.” They wanted to create a secular government run without specific religious influences.

My optimism runs eternal. Therefore, I’ll keep hoping for as long as I’m walking on this good Earth that one day we can apply that constitutional principle cleanly and without fear and suspicion.

City manager speaks to ‘caustic’ political environment

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Terry Childers speaks like a man with no burdens to bear regarding the city government he is administering.

Karen Welch of Panhandle PBS asked him whether Amarllo is having difficulty finding a permanent city manager to succeed Childers — the interim manager. He provided a spot-on answer during the “Live Here” segment.

The city needs to get past its next City Council election next May, when all five members of the council seats will be contested. It’s a quirk in the city charter, I suppose, that puts all five council members on the ballot at the same time. Who would want to take the city manager’s job knowing that after the next election, the city could have a new council — which then might want to replace the city manager? Childers asked.

Ba-da-boom!

Then he launched into what he called the “caustic” environment that has pervaded City Hall since the latest election, in May 2015.

City Council members have attacked each other’s motives, their political outlook, their integrity, Childers said. Those who run City Hall need to “put Amarillo first,” he said,  and dispense with the pettiness and petulance that has too often guided the public discussion.

He also took a clear-and-present shot at the Amarillo Globe-News, which he accused of “assassinating people’s character.” He asked, who would want to be subjected to that?

What he didn’t say in the interview, but which is surely implied, is that city manager candidates do not want to walk into that sausage grinder.

Childers is going to stay on the job for another few months. He told Welch he has “no interest” in becoming the permanent manager. I believe him. He wants to go back home and get on with the rest of his life.

He talks about that environment at about the 20-minute mark of the attached video link.

http://video.kacvtv.org/video/2365817588/

City government has been a significantly less harmonious organization for the past 15 months than it has been for, oh, the past several decades. The interim manager, though, was careful to tell Welch that he works with five “wonderful” council members who disagree with each other and with him. He said he’s fine with that.

If the environment is as “caustic” as the city manager believes it is, well, it’s time for the governing council to look inward and decide whether it really is intent on putting the city’s interests ahead of its members’ own political agendas.

Thanks for your honesty, Mr. Manager.

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