He won’t run again?

By JOHN KANELIS / johnkanelis_92@hotmail.com

Under normal circumstances, I might not place too much stock in what a university professor predicts for our nation’s political future.

Then again, any prediction involving Donald John Trump ought to get our attention. It gets mine for sure.

Allan Lichtman has predicted the winner of every presidential election seemingly since The Flood. He now says that Trump won’t run for the Republican Party presidential nomination nor will he run as a third-party candidate in 2024. He also says President Biden likely will run for re-election next time despite the fact that he will be 82 years of age were he to take office for a second term.

Lichtman is an American University political historian. He said Trump would win in 2016 despite every pundits’ prediction that Hillary Clinton would win in a breeze. Then the bottom fell out of Trump’s term and Biden won handily, which Lichtman saw coming as well.

As for the ex-president’s future, Lichtman doesn’t see it bearing much political fruit. And as for Biden’s future, that remains to be seen as well, given all that can go wrong between now and, say, the end of the 2022 midterm election.

Still, I am going to cling to the hope that Professor Lichtman’s prognostication skills hold up and that Trump really and truly is gone forever from the nation’s political scene.

Trump well might be indicted for campaign finance fraud and for coercing Georgia officials to “find” enough votes to overturn a statewide election that went to Joe Biden in 2020.

As the Miami Herald reports: Worse for Trump is that, “He’s got $400 million-plus in loans coming due. His brand is failing. His businesses are failing. He has a huge IRS audit. He doesn’t hold office anymore. He’s lost his Twitter feed,” Lichtman told me. That’s a lot of baggage for somebody to run for president, he added.

Professor who’s predicted presidential winners since ’80s says Trump won’t be a candidate in 2024. He’s probably right | Opinion (yahoo.com)

Here’s hoping Trump’s fortunes continue to crater.

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