The polling has begun and it shows a competitive race for Texas governor next year.
You know what they say, though, about politics: A week, or month, let alone a year, can be a lifetime or two … or three.
http://www.texastribune.org/2013/10/02/abbott-leads-davis-eight-points-poll/
A Texas Lyceum poll shows Republican Attorney General Greg Abbott leading Democratic state Sen. Wendy Davis of Fort Worth by 8 percent in a theoretical matchup. Davis is expected Thursday to announce her candidacy for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination, infusing enthusiasm into a state Democratic Party that has been in a virtual coma for two decades.
Abbott is the prohibitive favorite to be nominated by the Republicans next spring, although I’m not yet willing to count out my old pal Tom Pauken, a Dallas lawyer and commercial real estate developer (with interests in Amarillo), who’s also running for the GOP governor’s nomination.
Abbott has lots of money, lots of support among mainstream Republicans and lots of name identification.
Davis is no slouch in name ID or support among mainstream Democrats. Her problem, though, is that Republicans outnumber Democrats in Texas by a large margin. Therein lies the obstacle she faces.
The Lyceum poll says Davis does much better among women; she’s in a statistical tie with Abbott. She does better among minorities. Abbott, though, does better among independents.
I’ve noted before that the governor’s race needs some excitement. Wendy Davis is going to provide it.
Whether excitement translates to votes, though, will be the operative question going forward.