{"id":828,"date":"2012-11-06T02:18:00","date_gmt":"2012-11-06T02:18:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/highplainsblogger.wordpress.com\/2012\/11\/06\/happy-election-eve-america"},"modified":"2012-11-06T02:18:00","modified_gmt":"2012-11-06T02:18:00","slug":"happy-election-eve-america","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/highplainsblogger.com\/?p=828","title":{"rendered":"Happy Election Eve, America"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div class=\"twitter-share\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?via=jkanelis\" class=\"twitter-share-button\">Tweet<\/a><\/div>\n<p>Well, it\u2019s almost all said and done. Two men have taken their case to the country, although they\u2019ve delivered it in person to a mere fraction of it.<\/p>\n<p>Residents in about 10 states have seen more of President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney than many of them have cared to see. These are the residents of those so-called \u201cbattleground states.\u201d Texas isn\u2019t one of them. We haven\u2019t been graced much by the presence of either man. Democrats don\u2019t care for a state that votes so heavily Republican and, well, Republicans just take Texas for granted.<\/p>\n<p>What will happen Tuesday? Will Obama win re-election or will Romney score an upset?<\/p>\n<p>Every major pollster in the country seems now to be saying the same thing: It\u2019ll be Obama by a whisker. I am believing what they\u2019re saying.<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019ll venture this guess, though. The Electoral College victory won\u2019t be all that close. I think the president will win with 303 electoral votes, down a good bit by the 365 electoral votes he won in 2008. Popular vote? I\u2019m guessing it\u2019ll be around a 1.5 percent Obama victory, making it a clean win, with no popular vote\/electoral vote split, a la 2000 and Bush v. Gore.<\/p>\n<p>Joe Scarborough made a curious observation this morning on his \u201cMorning Joe\u201d talk show on MSNBC. He thinks a Romney upset is quite possible. Scarborough \u2013 a former congressman \u2013 is a loyal Republican and I\u2019ll concede his wishful thinking. I won\u2019t concede what he said today about \u201cno one seeing the Reagan revolution\u201d coming in 1980. The folks who did see it coming worked within President Carter\u2019s re-election campaign. Carter\u2019s team knew by the weekend before the \u201880 election that the president was toast. The undecided voting bloc broke decisively for Ronald Reagan at the end, giving him a big victory. The Carter people broke the news to their guy three days before the votes were counted.<\/p>\n<p>Is a similar result possible Tuesday? I don\u2019t think so. Polling is a lot better these days. There are many more polls. All of them taken together say the same thing: Obama in a squeaker.<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s hold on, though, for a long night.<\/p>\n\n<div class=\"twitter-share\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intent\/tweet?via=jkanelis\" class=\"twitter-share-button\">Tweet<\/a><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Well, it\u2019s almost all said and done. Two men have taken their case to the country, although they\u2019ve delivered it in person to a mere fraction of it. Residents in about 10 states have seen more of President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney than many of them have cared to see. These are the residents &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/highplainsblogger.com\/?p=828\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Happy Election Eve, America<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-828","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/highplainsblogger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/828","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/highplainsblogger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/highplainsblogger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/highplainsblogger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/highplainsblogger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=828"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/highplainsblogger.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/828\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/highplainsblogger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=828"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/highplainsblogger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=828"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/highplainsblogger.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=828"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}